🎯 Trade Setups
These are patterns firing today, each shown with what actually happened the last time it appeared, measured over two years of real prices. This is not a list of shares to buy. A setup that paid 55% of the time also failed 45% of the time, and the average loss is shown as plainly as the average gain.
Measured over every share and every stored day. A buy setup counts as right when the price was higher after the period; a warning counts as right when it was lower. Entry is the next day's close, because a share bought today cannot be sold the same day on DSE.
| Setup | Side | Times seen | Right how often | In a mixed market | Average move | When right | When wrong | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Oversold, but still in an uptrend
RSI has dropped below 30 while the price is still above its 200-day average, a dip inside a rising trend, rather than a falling knife.
|
BUY SIDE | 164 |
63.4%
|
56.0% (25) | +1.07% | +8.65% | -12.07% | -64.9% |
|
Broke above its 20-day high on heavy volume
Closed higher than any of the previous 20 days, with volume at least 1.8× its 20-day average. Buying interest, not drift.
|
BUY SIDE | 4,185 |
48.3%
|
50.0% (1,949) | +1.90% | +9.95% | -5.62% | -45.5% |
|
MACD crossed upward
The MACD line crossed above its signal line, momentum turning from falling to rising.
|
BUY SIDE | 3,867 |
47.6%
|
49.9% (2,041) | +0.98% | +8.14% | -5.53% | -35.4% |
|
Held a price that stopped falls before
Came within 2% of a level where the price stopped falling at least twice in the last 120 days, and closed higher.
|
BUY SIDE | 966 |
54.6%
|
59.8% (378) | +0.29% | +6.48% | -7.15% | -41.4% |
Sorted by how often each setup has been right in this kind of market. The health column is the company's own Z-category warning, a strong-looking setup on a company drifting toward Z is not the same trade.
| Stock | Company | Setup | Side | Price | Right how often | Average move | When wrong | Health |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BDWELDING | Held a price that stopped falls before | BUY SIDE | 13.80 | 59.8% | +0.85% | -7.76% | Already in Z | |
| MARICO | Held a price that stopped falls before | BUY SIDE | 2,727.50 | 59.8% | +0.85% | -7.76% | No warning signs | |
| BDAUTOCA | Broke above its 20-day high on heavy volume | BUY SIDE | 227.80 | 50.0% | +1.98% | -5.55% | Watch closely | |
| BDLAMPS | Broke above its 20-day high on heavy volume | BUY SIDE | 222.60 | 50.0% | +1.98% | -5.55% | Watch closely | |
| CNATEX | Broke above its 20-day high on heavy volume | BUY SIDE | 3.50 | 50.0% | +1.98% | -5.55% | Already in Z | |
| ISNLTD | Broke above its 20-day high on heavy volume | BUY SIDE | 64.60 | 50.0% | +1.98% | -5.55% | High risk | |
| JHRML | Broke above its 20-day high on heavy volume | BUY SIDE | 55.90 | 50.0% | +1.98% | -5.55% | Minor signs | |
| METROSPIN | Broke above its 20-day high on heavy volume | BUY SIDE | 10.50 | 50.0% | +1.98% | -5.55% | Already in Z | |
| NURANI | Broke above its 20-day high on heavy volume | BUY SIDE | 3.60 | 50.0% | +1.98% | -5.55% | Already in Z | |
| PEOPLESINS | Broke above its 20-day high on heavy volume | BUY SIDE | 66.90 | 50.0% | +1.98% | -5.55% | No warning signs | |
| PRIMEINSUR | Broke above its 20-day high on heavy volume | BUY SIDE | 65.30 | 50.0% | +1.98% | -5.55% | No warning signs | |
| SAIHAMTEX | Broke above its 20-day high on heavy volume | BUY SIDE | 29.00 | 50.0% | +1.98% | -5.55% | Minor signs | |
| SONALIANSH | Broke above its 20-day high on heavy volume | BUY SIDE | 229.70 | 50.0% | +1.98% | -5.55% | Minor signs | |
| TUNGHAI | Broke above its 20-day high on heavy volume | BUY SIDE | 5.00 | 50.0% | +1.98% | -5.55% | Already in Z | |
| ACTIVEFINE | MACD crossed upward | BUY SIDE | 6.90 | 49.9% | +1.33% | -5.53% | Already in Z | |
| BATASHOE | MACD crossed upward | BUY SIDE | 915.10 | 49.9% | +1.33% | -5.53% | No warning signs | |
| DHAKABANK | MACD crossed upward | BUY SIDE | 12.40 | 49.9% | +1.33% | -5.53% | No warning signs | |
| INDEXAGRO | MACD crossed upward | BUY SIDE | 75.60 | 49.9% | +1.33% | -5.53% | No warning signs | |
| PARAMOUNT | MACD crossed upward | BUY SIDE | 64.50 | 49.9% | +1.33% | -5.53% | No warning signs | |
| PTL | MACD crossed upward | BUY SIDE | 65.80 | 49.9% | +1.33% | -5.53% | No warning signs | |
| PUBALIBANK | MACD crossed upward | BUY SIDE | 39.30 | 49.9% | +1.33% | -5.53% | No warning signs | |
| RECKITTBEN | MACD crossed upward | BUY SIDE | 3,311.30 | 49.9% | +1.33% | -5.53% | No warning signs | |
| SAIFPOWER | MACD crossed upward | BUY SIDE | 10.40 | 49.9% | +1.33% | -5.53% | Already in Z | |
| SAIHAMCOT | MACD crossed upward | BUY SIDE | 23.20 | 49.9% | +1.33% | -5.53% | Minor signs | |
| SAMORITA | MACD crossed upward | BUY SIDE | 103.90 | 49.9% | +1.33% | -5.53% | Minor signs | |
| SONALIANSH | MACD crossed upward | BUY SIDE | 229.70 | 49.9% | +1.33% | -5.53% | Minor signs | |
| TALLUSPIN | MACD crossed upward | BUY SIDE | 8.20 | 49.9% | +1.33% | -5.53% | Already in Z |
- • These are measurements of the past, not forecasts. A setup being right 58% of the time in the last two years does not make the next one a 58% chance.
- • Nothing here accounts for brokerage costs or the spread between buy and sell price, both of which eat into a 2% average move.
- • Entry is measured at the next day's close, because a share bought today cannot be sold the same day on DSE. Trading it any other way makes these numbers wrong.
- • A setup on a company with a Z-category warning carries a risk no price pattern can measure.
- • This is not investment advice, and this site does not recommend any share. You are responsible for what you buy and sell.